import yfinance as yf import pandas as pd import numpy as np from scipy.optimize import minimize import matplotlib.pyplot as plt import warnings warnings.filterwarnings("ignore") class Portfolio: def __init__(self, data_symbol, line=True,sample_num = 10000): self.data_symbol = data_symbol self.data = self.create_stock_data(self.data_symbol) self.length = len(self.data.columns) self.sample_num = sample_num self.calculate(line=line) # 用雅虎财经API创建Data def create_stock_data(self, data_symbol): data = pd.DataFrame() for symbol in data_symbol: try: symbol_data = yf.download(symbol, start=start_date, end=end_date) data = pd.concat([data, symbol_data['Close']], axis=1) except: print("请检查股票代码拼写是否有误!") data.columns = data_symbol return data def calculate(self, line): # 初始化参数 self.all_weights = np.zeros((self.sample_num, len(self.data.columns))) self.ret_arr = np.zeros(self.sample_num) self.vol_arr = np.zeros(self.sample_num) self.sharpe_arr = np.zeros(self.sample_num) self.log_ret = np.log(self.data/self.data.shift(1)) for x in range(self.sample_num): # 随机给不同资产赋予权重 self.weights = np.array(np.random.random(self.length)) self.weights = self.weights/np.sum(self.weights) self.all_weights[x,:] = self.weights # 计算期望收益 # 252是美股每年的交易天数 self.ret_arr[x] = np.sum( (self.log_ret.mean() * self.weights * 252)) # 计算期望风险 self.vol_arr[x] = np.sqrt(np.dot(self.weights.T, np.dot(self.log_ret.cov()*252, self.weights))) # 计算夏普比率 self.sharpe_arr[x] = self.ret_arr[x]/ self.vol_arr[x] self.frontier_x = [] self.frontier_y = np.linspace(0.15, 0.5, 200) for possible_return in self.frontier_y: cons = ({'type':'eq','fun': self.check_sum}, {'type':'eq','fun':lambda w : self.get_ret_vol_sr(w)[0]-possible_return}) init_guess = np.ones(self.length) / (self.length) bounds = ((0,1),)*(self.length) self.result = minimize(self.minimize_volatility, init_guess, method='SLSQP', bounds=bounds, constraints=cons) self.frontier_x.append(self.result['fun']) def draw(self, line=True): plt.figure(figsize=(20,8)) plt.scatter(self.vol_arr, self.ret_arr, c=self.sharpe_arr, cmap='viridis', s=10) plt.colorbar(label='Sharpe Ratio') plt.xlabel('Volatility') plt.ylabel('Return') plt.xticks(np.arange(0, 0.5, step=0.02)) if(line): plt.plot(self.frontier_x, self.frontier_y, 'r--', linewidth=3) plt.show() def report(self): self.optim_number = self.sharpe_arr.argmax() self.optim_weights = self.all_weights[self.optim_number] print("基于所选风险资产的模拟最佳组合: ") for i in range(self.length): print("股票代码:{}, 比例:{:.2f}%".format(self.data.columns[i], self.optim_weights[i]*100)) self.best_results_arr = self.get_ret_vol_sr( self.optim_weights) print("期望年化收益: {:.2f}%, 风险: {:.2f}%".format(self.best_results_arr[0]*100, self.best_results_arr[1]*100, self.best_results_arr[2])) def get_ret_vol_sr(self, weights): weights = np.array(weights) ret = np.sum(self.log_ret.mean() * weights) * 252 vol = np.sqrt(np.dot(weights.T, np.dot(self.log_ret.cov()*252, weights))) sr = ret/vol return np.array([ret, vol, sr]) def neg_sharpe(self, weights): return self.get_ret_vol_sr(weights)[2] * -1 def check_sum(self, weights): #return 0 if sum of the weights is 1 return np.sum(weights)-1 def minimize_volatility(self, weights): return self.get_ret_vol_sr(weights)[1] ####根据需要调整下面的参数#### if __name__ == "__main__": # 数据起始日期 start_date = "2016-01-01" end_date = "2021-01-01" # 选择需要哪些资产的数据 data_array = ["600519.SS", "0700.HK","BABA", "AAPL", "MSFT","^GSPC","GOLD", "TSLA"] portfolio = Portfolio(data_array, sample_num=100000) portfolio.report() portfolio.draw()